By Anthony Marcus for Eurasia Business News, July 14, 2025. Article n°1618.
Russia’s grain harvest for 2025 is forecasted to reach at least 135 million tonnes, according to Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Patrushev and the Agriculture Ministry. This projection is higher than the 2024 harvest, which was about 129.8 million tonnes including new regions, or 125.9 million tonnes excluding them.
Key details supporting this forecast include:
- Nearly 20 million hectares of winter crops were planted, with 93% in good condition, and spring sowing has covered 93% of planned areas (about 52 million hectares).
- The planting campaign is progressing smoothly, aided by government measures and increased use of domestic seeds, especially for sunflower and sugar beet.
- Harvesting has begun in southern regions like Crimea, with other southern and North Caucasus areas expected to join soon.
Some independent forecasts vary slightly:
- Consulting firm ProZerno estimates total grain production (including new regions) at about 134.75 million tonnes, a 3.8% increase over 2024, with wheat production around 83.2 million tonnes.
- SovEcon forecasts barley at 17.4 million tonnes and corn production also rising.
However, challenges remain:
- Weather concerns, especially in key grain regions like Rostov, could impact yields due to spring frosts and drought conditions, though recent rains have somewhat alleviated the situation.
- The International Grains Council projects a slightly lower grain production of about 119.3 million tonnes for the 2025-26 marketing year, reflecting some uncertainty.
Overall, the official and majority forecasts support a grain harvest of approximately 135 million tonnes in 2025, marking an increase from 2024 and reflecting favorable planting conditions and government support, though weather risks persist.
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© Copyright 2025 – Eurasia Business News. Article no. 1618.
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